Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:35:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd563…c2ba
crypto · 1271 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$51 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses546 / 698
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1244 / 1271
History coverage10d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day205.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1244 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$13
14 days−$51
30 days−$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 952 -3.7% -12.8% 47% 47% -10.8%
≤30d 1244 -5.5% -14.5% 44% 43% -13.1%
≤90d 1244 -5.5% -14.5% 44% 43% -13.1%
all 1244 -5.5% -14.5% 44% 43% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover205.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 43% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 41% -21.4%
15% -30.1% 40% -29.0%
20% -37.0% 40% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2060 history records