Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:28:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd56e…4d80
crypto · 1610 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$102 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$102 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$102
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses821 / 789
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1610 / 1610
History coverage136d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day17.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1610 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$5
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$95
other 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 423 -0.3% -9.8% 53% 53% -9.1%
≤30d 971 -0.3% -9.8% 51% 50% -9.4%
≤90d 1157 -1.4% -10.8% 50% 49% -10.5%
all 1610 -1.5% -10.9% 51% 43% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.9% 43% -11.2%
10% -19.4% 42% -19.7%
15% -27.2% 41% -27.5%
20% -34.4% 40% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records