Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:06:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd574…5262
crypto · 793 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$775 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$775 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$775
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses281 / 512
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)793 / 793
History coverage62d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day41.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 793 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$108
7 days−$108
14 days−$116
30 days−$439
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$11 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$17 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -55%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$8 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$9 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$4 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$2 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$15 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$2 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$751
other 0% −$17
sports 0% −$7
weather 0% $0
politics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-28.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -25.0% -32.1% 37% 24% -18.9%
≤30d 305 -28.2% -35.0% 33% 27% -20.4%
≤90d 793 -20.5% -28.1% 35% 31% -17.6%
all 793 -20.5% -28.1% 35% 31% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.1% 31% -17.6%
10% ← realistic here -35.0% 24% -25.5%
15% -41.3% 18% -32.7%
20% -47.0% 13% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records