trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +78.4% | +61.4% | 57% | 43% | +30.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +45.9% | +32.0% | 54% | 38% | +23.5% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +15.2% | +4.3% | 36% | 28% | -19.0% |
| all | 29 | +21.7% | +10.1% | 45% | 38% | -3.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +10.1% | 38% | -3.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -0.5% | 38% | -12.3% |
| 15% | -10.1% | 38% | -20.8% |
| 20% | -18.9% | 34% | -28.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 22¢ | $9,000 | $10,158 | +$1,158 (+13%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 16¢ | $5,000 | $6,060 | +$1,060 (+21%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 13¢ | $5,000 | $4,034 | −$966 (-19%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $2,028 | +$1,676 | +83% |
| Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $3,052 | +$4,026 | +132% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $2,571 | +$198 | +8% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $6,955 | −$1,850 | -27% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $2,984 | −$1,223 | -41% |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $1,020 | −$41 | -4% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-19 | Jun 22 | $1,536 | +$6,117 | +398% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $9,575 | +$957 | +10% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $3,054 | −$1,590 | -52% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $2,041 | +$4,410 | +216% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Jun 15 | $9,965 | +$7,295 | +73% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $1,443 | −$1,443 | -100% |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Jun 15 | $1,200 | −$1,200 | -100% |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $2,500 | −$2,500 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Apr 13 | $9,761 | −$9,761 | -100% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Tour Championship? | Apr 13 | $3,360 | −$3,360 | -100% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025? | Apr 13 | $6,280 | −$6,280 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Apr 13 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $2,000 | −$2,000 | -100% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open? | Apr 13 | $16,930 | −$16,930 | -100% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship? | Apr 13 | $10,225 | −$10,225 | -100% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $14,500 | +$25,216 | +174% |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $400 | −$301 | -75% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $7,500 | −$5,033 | -67% |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $215 | +$1,189 | +553% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open? | Sep 08 | $9,400 | +$6,807 | +72% |
| Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | Sep 07 | $39 | +$24 | +61% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November? | Nov 11 | $21,200 | +$8,870 | +42% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 07 | $12,349 | +$8,891 | +72% |