trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +38.0% | +24.9% | 100% | 100% | +27.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +25.6% | +13.6% | 100% | 75% | +16.2% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +6.4% | -3.8% | 72% | 39% | +7.7% |
| all | 18 | +6.4% | -3.8% | 72% | 39% | +7.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.8% | 39% | +7.7% |
| 10% | -13.0% | 28% | -2.7% |
| 15% | -21.4% | 11% | -12.1% |
| 20% | -29.1% | 6% | -20.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 59¢ | 78¢ | $717 | $958 | +$241 (+34%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 37¢ | 24¢ | $1,100 | $705 | −$395 (-36%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 19¢ | 8¢ | $100 | $39 | −$61 (-61%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $1,800 | +$417 | +23% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 16 | $2,670 | +$1,412 | +53% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $3,555 | +$840 | +24% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 28 | $1,503 | +$39 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | Apr 28 | $160 | +$10 | +6% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Apr 23 | $2,684 | +$251 | +9% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Apr 23 | $500 | −$21 | -4% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Apr 23 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Apr 21 | $822 | +$73 | +9% |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | Apr 21 | $150 | +$13 | +9% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | Apr 21 | $200 | −$11 | -5% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | Apr 21 | $580 | +$217 | +37% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Apr 21 | $1,020 | +$10 | +1% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 20? | Apr 20 | $108 | +$12 | +11% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Apr 19 | $800 | −$20 | -2% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Apr 18 | $200 | +$26 | +13% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Apr 18 | $100 | +$29 | +29% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Apr 13 | $200 | −$1 | -0% |