Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T13:17:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D5 0xd58b…739d crypto 685 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (162 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$24 (+3%) realized +$24 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate92%625W / 54L
Drawdown70%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day162.4pace
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$6now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% +$17
other 11% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (162 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 679 +1.6% -8.1% 92% 24% -7.8%
≤30d 679 +1.6% -8.1% 92% 24% -7.8%
≤90d 679 +1.6% -8.1% 92% 24% -7.8%
all 679 +1.6% -8.1% 92% 24% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover162.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 24% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 10% -16.6%
15% -24.9% 4% -24.7%
20% -32.3% 3% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
70% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.26 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$6
Realized+$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses625 / 54
Open positions6
Markets (closed)679 / 685
History coverage4d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day162.4
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 6 History 679 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 91¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 98¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 97¢ 96¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 96¢ 93¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 94¢ 89¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 12 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +29%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 0m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 10m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 20m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 24m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 29m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.94 · official $3.37 · 1383 history records