Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:02:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D5 0xd596…3737 crypto 445 markets active 2d ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$52 (-2%) realized −$52 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate76%337W / 108L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day62.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$121
14 days−$90
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$93
other 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 400 -5.0% -14.1% 77% 41% -14.2%
≤30d 445 -1.2% -10.6% 76% 42% -12.4%
≤90d 445 -1.2% -10.6% 76% 42% -12.4%
all 445 -1.2% -10.6% 76% 42% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 42% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 27% -20.7%
15% -27.0% 16% -28.4%
20% -34.2% 10% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
44% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses337 / 108
Open positions0
Markets (closed)445 / 445
History coverage8d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day62.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 445 Trades
no open positions (64 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $10 +$5 +46%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 47h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 68¢ $10 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 921 history records