Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T06:04:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D5 0xd599…7a1f sports 183 markets active 0h ago coverage 52d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$6,748 (+4%) realized +$6,748 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate59%108W / 75L
Whale WR72%big bets
Drawdown29%max
Avg bet$868per market
Trades / day58.4pace
Fees−$3,525est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$104
7 days−$104
14 days−$104
30 days+$571
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$4,953
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -24.4% -31.6% 50% 17% -11.9%
≤30d 80 -4.2% -13.3% 55% 22% -8.6%
≤90d 183 -2.0% -11.4% 59% 30% -6.6%
all 183 -2.0% -11.4% 59% 30% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 30% -6.6%
10% -19.9% 10% -15.6%
15% ← realistic here -27.6% 8% -23.7%
20% -34.7% 4% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
46% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 72% (≥$1,284) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$124 vs −$113 · ×1.1 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.58 per $1 lost it wins $1.58
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

52d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6,748
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses108 / 75
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Est. fees paid−$3,525
Open positions0
Markets (closed)183 / 183
History coverage52d
Avg bet$868
Trades / day58.4
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 183 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $176 −$76 -43%
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $1,073 +$53 +5%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $539 −$15 -3%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $29 +$1 +5%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $51 +$25 +50%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $145 −$92 -64%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $1,049 +$9 +1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $1,209 −$202 -17%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $1,148 −$80 -7%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $943 +$116 +12%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $1,150 +$68 +6%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $644 +$36 +6%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,852 +$4 +0%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $66 −$63 -96%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $237 −$22 -10%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $251 +$28 +11%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $574 +$4 +1%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,123 +$448 +40%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $856 −$57 -7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $516 −$1 -0%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $92 −$2 -2%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $379 −$27 -7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $195 −$146 -75%
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $67 +$26 +38%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $256 +$387 +151%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $603 −$85 -14%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,579 +$217 +14%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,874 +$228 +12%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $761 −$344 -45%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,375 −$178 -13%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $34 −$29 -84%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $851 −$52 -6%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $439 −$208 -47%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $4,004 −$44 -1%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $689 −$272 -40%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $979 −$409 -42%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $374 −$134 -36%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $508 +$58 +12%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $513 +$183 +36%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1,563 +$147 +9%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1,162 +$135 +12%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $736 +$110 +15%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $138 −$6 -4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $521 +$51 +10%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $77 +$4 +6%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $1,165 +$92 +8%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $781 +$50 +6%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,973 −$266 -14%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $1,660 +$13 +1%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $17 −$17 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 34¢ $100 4m
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 58¢ $176 7m
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $300 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 69¢ $209 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 43¢ $53 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 43¢ $22 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 43¢ $12 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 43¢ $22 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 43¢ $22 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 52¢ $156 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 24¢ $70 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 28¢ $86 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 68¢ $149 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 69¢ $4 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 69¢ $34 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 69¢ $16 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 65¢ $16 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 65¢ $45 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 65¢ $25 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 62¢ $31 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 65¢ $78 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 65¢ $195 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 62¢ $188 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 67¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 67¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 67¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 67¢ $67 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 67¢ $50 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 67¢ $11 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 67¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3120 history records