Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:05:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd59b…82ab
crypto · 126 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$98 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$98
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses46 / 80
Open positions0
Markets (closed)126 / 126
History coverage3d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day158.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$87
7 days−$98
14 days−$98
30 days−$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$112
other 7% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 -14.2% -22.3% 37% 34% -15.2%
≤30d 126 -14.2% -22.3% 37% 34% -15.2%
≤90d 126 -14.2% -22.3% 37% 34% -15.2%
all 126 -14.2% -22.3% 37% 34% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover158.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.3% 34% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -29.8% 25% -23.3%
15% -36.6% 16% -30.7%
20% -42.8% 12% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 445 history records