Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:16:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd59d…65b3
crypto · 462 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$954 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$956 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized+$956
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses255 / 307
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)562 / 462
History coverage3d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day968.1
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 562 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$114
7 days+$956
14 days+$956
30 days+$956
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Up 62¢ 58¢ $19 $18 −$1 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Down 47¢ 42¢ $12 $10 −$1 (-11%)
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 9, 12PM ET? No 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 12, 12PM ET? No 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 8, 3AM ET? No 63¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin above 60,600 on June 6, 10PM ET? Yes 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 7, 9AM ET? No 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 7, 9PM ET? No 18¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+456%)
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 8PM ET? Yes 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 12, 2PM ET? No 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 9, 9AM ET? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 7PM ET? No 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 9, 6PM ET? No 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 7, 5PM ET? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 4PM ET? No 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 8, 11PM ET? No 13¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 10AM ET? No 18¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 2AM ET? No 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 8, 3PM ET? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 9, 10PM ET? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 10, 9AM ET? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 4AM ET? No 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 8, 8PM ET? No 39¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 9, 12PM ET? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 8, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 +59%
Bitcoin above 60,600 on June 6, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 +20%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 7, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 7, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 9, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 7, 5PM ET? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 4PM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 8, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 2AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 8, 3PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 8, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 6, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 9, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 7, 6PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 7, 7PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 9, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 8, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 9, 1AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 8, 3PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 7, 1AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 6, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 7, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 7, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,720 on June 8, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 7, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 8, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 8, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 8, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 7, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 8, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 9, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 7, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 7, 6PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 12AM ET? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,419
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $18 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $7 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $19 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $8 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $22 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $19 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 562 -11.7% -20.1% 45% 32% -6.9%
≤30d 562 -11.7% -20.1% 45% 32% -6.9%
≤90d 562 -11.7% -20.1% 45% 32% -6.9%
all 562 -11.7% -20.1% 45% 32% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover968.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 32% -6.9%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 21% -15.8%
15% -34.7% 14% -24.0%
20% -41.1% 9% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.91 · official $27.93 · 3500 history records