Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd5a0…be73
crypto · 90 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$93 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses34 / 56
Open positions0
Markets (closed)90 / 90
History coverage30d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day8.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$83
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 17 $19 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 17 $11 −$9 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET May 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET May 16 $4 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET May 16 $27 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET May 16 $21 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 16 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 16 $4 −$2 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 16 $30 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 16 $26 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 16 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 16 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 16 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 16 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 16 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 16 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 16 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 16 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 16 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 16 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 16 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 16 $4 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 16 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 16 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 16 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 16 $6 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET May 16 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET May 16 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET May 16 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET May 16 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET May 16 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET May 16 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET May 16 $4 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET May 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$80
other 2% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 7h
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 86¢ $13 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $6 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $8 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $2 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $2 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $8 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-20.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -46.5% -51.6% 50% 10% -52.4%
≤30d 86 -8.8% -17.5% 40% 29% -24.2%
≤90d 90 -12.4% -20.8% 38% 28% -25.6%
all 90 -12.4% -20.8% 38% 28% -25.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.8% 28% -25.6%
10% -28.4% 20% -32.8%
15% -35.3% 18% -39.3%
20% -41.6% 9% -45.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 363 history records