trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 57% | 57% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +7.1% | -3.1% | 67% | 67% | -1.9% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +3.8% | -6.1% | 69% | 62% | +0.4% |
| all | 16 | +3.8% | -6.1% | 69% | 62% | +0.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.1% | 62% | +0.4% |
| 10% | -15.1% | 38% | -9.2% |
| 15% | -23.3% | 25% | -18.0% |
| 20% | -30.8% | 6% | -26.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5 | Over | 64¢ | 62¢ | $764 | $740 | −$24 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $532 | +$241 | +45% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $854 | −$409 | -48% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $246 | −$158 | -64% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $670 | −$313 | -47% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $553 | +$276 | +50% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $533 | +$121 | +23% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5 | Jun 16 | $613 | +$219 | +36% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $1,003 | +$144 | +14% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $649 | +$353 | +54% |
| Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | May 17 | $227 | +$45 | +20% |
| Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $650 | +$228 | +35% |
| Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | May 14 | $156 | +$15 | +9% |
| Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | May 14 | $486 | +$89 | +18% |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the | May 07 | $58 | −$58 | -100% |
| Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A | Apr 13 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 12 | $50 | +$8 | +17% |