trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 34 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 35% | 35% | +0.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.0% | 35% | +0.2% |
| 10% | -14.1% | 35% | -9.4% |
| 15% | -22.4% | 35% | -18.1% |
| 20% | -30.0% | 32% | -26.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $350 | $350 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $290 | $290 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $210 | $210 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 17 | $220 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 17 | $290 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 17 | $340 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 16 | $210 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 16 | $310 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 16 | $330 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $200 | $0 | -0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $240 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $410 | −$1 | -0% |
| Dodgers vs. Blue Jays | Oct 31 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Flyers | Oct 20 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Blue Jays vs. Mariners | Oct 20 | $16 | +$19 | +122% |
| Lions vs. Chiefs | Oct 16 | $10 | +$7 | +72% |
| Rays vs. Orioles | Sep 23 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Braves vs. Nationals | Sep 23 | $3 | +$2 | +70% |
| Pirates vs. Orioles | Sep 15 | $3 | +$2 | +75% |
| TCU vs. North Carolina | Sep 01 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Falcons vs. Cowboys | Aug 26 | $43 | +$31 | +72% |
| Pirates vs. Brewers | Aug 20 | $28 | +$14 | +49% |
| Twins vs. Tigers | Aug 12 | $5 | +$3 | +61% |
| Twins vs. Yankees | Aug 12 | $12 | +$7 | +56% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Tigers | Jul 31 | $6 | +$5 | +79% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Apr 09 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Apr 07 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the SPD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | Feb 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Timberwolves | Feb 07 | $103 | +$112 | +109% |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 31 - Feb 7? | Feb 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Heat vs. 76ers | Feb 06 | $112 | +$104 | +92% |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Feb 05 | $103 | +$121 | +117% |
| Hawks vs. Bulls | Nov 26 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |