trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -9.1% | -17.7% | 71% | 43% | +39.8% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -20.4% | -28.0% | 62% | 38% | +39.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -16.3% | -24.3% | 60% | 40% | +39.2% |
| all | 10 | -16.3% | -24.3% | 60% | 40% | +39.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.3% | 40% | +39.2% |
| 10% | -31.5% | 30% | +25.9% |
| 15% | -38.1% | 20% | +13.7% |
| 20% | -44.2% | 20% | +2.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 65¢ | 24¢ | $520 | $188 | −$332 (-64%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 11¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+41%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 15¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-14%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-23%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $323 | +$202 | +62% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +26% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $6 | −$5 | -75% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B | May 18 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 28 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Apr 16 | $2 | +$2 | +101% |