trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 56% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 56% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 25 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 68% | 4% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.2% | 4% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -17.0% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -25.0% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -32.4% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $34 | $34 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 22 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 04 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 01 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 30 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 29 | $36 | +$1 | +3% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 29 | $5 | $0 | +9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 29 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 28 | $18 | −$2 | -13% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Na Kyung-won be the People's Power Party candidate for president? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 19 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2400 in April? | Apr 15 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 15 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Cana | Apr 15 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? | Apr 14 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amazon buy TikTok? | Apr 13 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%? | Apr 12 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| TikTok sale announced before May? | Apr 11 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders? | Apr 07 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 'Minecraft' gross between 100m and 110m on opening weekend? | Apr 05 | $10 | $0 | +1% |