Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:25:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd602…6e50
crypto · 336 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$47 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$200 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$200
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses160 / 176
Open positions0
Markets (closed)336 / 336
History coverage34d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day14.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 336 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$142
7 days−$142
14 days−$142
30 days−$168
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $116 −$113 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $94 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$23 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $132 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $127 −$104 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $119 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $224 −$32 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$15 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $250 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $167 +$39 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $153 +$28 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $244 +$26 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $269 +$52 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $160 −$12 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $55 −$35 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $167 +$13 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 25 $2 +$5 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 25 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 22 $1 +$24 +2243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 22 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 22 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 22 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 22 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET May 22 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 22 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 22 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET May 22 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET May 22 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 22 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 22 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET May 22 $6 −$6 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$200
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $16 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $18 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $18 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $18 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $15 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $14 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $12 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $19 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $18 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $16 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $15 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $15 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $12 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $16 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $16 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $19 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $19 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $19 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $19 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $19 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $19 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $16 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $16 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -12.3% -20.6% 59% 29% -14.8%
≤30d 212 -1.6% -11.0% 35% 33% -14.8%
≤90d 336 -3.7% -12.9% 48% 46% -15.1%
all 336 -3.7% -12.9% 48% 46% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 46% -15.1%
10% -21.2% 40% -23.2%
15% -28.8% 30% -30.6%
20% -35.8% 21% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 648 history records