Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:56:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd60f…7d25
other · 128 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$77 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$77 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized−$77
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses19 / 108
Whale WR (big bets)17%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)127 / 128
History coverage102d
Avg bet$173
Trades / day4.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 1 History 127 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$16
14 days−$29
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No 98¢ 98¢ $46 $46 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun Jun 13 $59 $0 -1%
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 12 $109 −$3 -2%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $226 −$2 -1%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $387 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Jun 11 $50 −$1 -2%
Will a player representing Belgium be the top goalscorer at the 2026 F Jun 11 $53 −$1 -2%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 11 $61 $0 -1%
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $42 $0 -1%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $51 −$1 -2%
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $38 −$1 -2%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $270 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $44 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Jun 09 $105 −$1 -1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 07 $59 −$1 -1%
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 07 $42 −$1 -2%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $142 $0 -0%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 06 $7 $0 -0%
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in Jun 06 $105 −$1 -1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 05 $202 −$1 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $270 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $60 $0 -0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 05 $653 −$1 -0%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $450 −$1 -0%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 04 $129 −$1 -1%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Jun 04 $57 $0 -1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 03 $44 $0 -0%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 03 $54 −$1 -1%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 02 $49 $0 -0%
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 02 $47 $0 -0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 02 $176 −$2 -1%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $147 −$1 -1%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $45 −$1 -2%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $237 −$1 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 31 $664 −$1 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $104 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $76 $0 -1%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 29 $59 −$2 -3%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 28 $163 −$2 -1%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $310 −$1 -0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? May 27 $109 −$1 -0%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 27 $53 $0 +1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet May 23 $60 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 22 $63 $0 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 22 $40 $0 -0%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 21 $46 $0 -0%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 21 $42 −$1 -2%
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? May 21 $115 −$1 -1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? May 20 $44 $0 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? May 20 $63 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 20 $43 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 31% −$14
other 30% −$23
sports 20% −$17
crypto 4% −$8
economics 4% −$2
culture 4% −$8
finance 3% +$1
world 3% −$3
tech 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $46 1h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL No 96¢ $59 2h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 96¢ $59 10h
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 92¢ $54 10h
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 96¢ $8 16h
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 96¢ $49 16h
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $50 17h
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $50 23h
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 97¢ $45 24h
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 97¢ $45 32h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 92¢ $49 32h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? BUY No 93¢ $50 39h
Will a player representing Belgium be the top goalscorer at the 2026 F SELL No 96¢ $52 40h
Will a player representing Belgium be the top goalscorer at the 2026 F BUY No 98¢ $53 46h
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 92¢ $60 47h
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 92¢ $61 2d
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $42 2d
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $42 2d
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 92¢ $50 2d
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 93¢ $51 2d
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 93¢ $37 2d
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 94¢ $38 3d
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 93¢ $38 3d
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 94¢ $39 3d
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $44 3d
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $44 3d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? SELL No 94¢ $52 3d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 94¢ $52 5d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 93¢ $58 5d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $59 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -1.1% -10.5% 0% 0% -10.3%
≤30d 54 -0.8% -10.2% 2% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 115 -0.5% -9.9% 15% 0% -9.8%
all 127 -0.5% -10.0% 15% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 0% -9.8%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.36 · official $46.36 (match) · 536 history records