trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -32.6% | -39.0% | 32% | 26% | -14.8% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -39.0% | -44.8% | 29% | 24% | -16.1% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -39.0% | -44.8% | 29% | 24% | -16.1% |
| all | 29 | -25.5% | -32.6% | 28% | 24% | -19.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.6% | 24% | -19.4% |
| 10% | -39.0% | 21% | -27.2% |
| 15% | -44.9% | 17% | -34.2% |
| 20% | -50.3% | 17% | -40.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $507 | +$463 | +91% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 18 | $3,512 | +$449 | +13% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | Jun 18 | $118 | −$115 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 0 Panama? | Jun 18 | $6,518 | +$550 | +8% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $1,224 | +$2,259 | +185% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $565 | −$550 | -97% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $103 | +$287 | +278% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $553 | −$540 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? | Jun 16 | $405 | −$400 | -99% |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand? | Jun 16 | $511 | −$500 | -98% |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 1 New Zealand? | Jun 16 | $905 | −$1 | -0% |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1,623 | +$514 | +32% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2,884 | −$2,830 | -98% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2,057 | −$531 | -26% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $49 | −$48 | -98% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | May 19 | $315 | −$303 | -96% |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | May 19 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Mar 10 | $2,471 | −$2,471 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Mar 10 | $6,945 | −$6,945 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Mar 10 | $744 | −$744 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7? | Mar 07 | $200 | +$237 | +118% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | Mar 07 | $110 | −$110 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7? | Mar 07 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Kristi Noem out by March 31? | Mar 06 | $1,505 | +$8,441 | +561% |
| Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31? | Feb 13 | $169 | −$169 | -100% |