trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -2.7% | -11.9% | 75% | 0% | -16.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 58% | 8% | -9.5% |
| all | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 58% | 8% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 8% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 8% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 8% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 37¢ | 36¢ | $37 | $36 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $29 | $28 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? | Jun 17 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Jun 16 | $140 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Jun 16 | $9 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | Jun 02 | $213 | −$35 | -17% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 | May 13 | $77 | +$29 | +38% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 | May 13 | $2 | −$1 | -38% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? | May 11 | $72 | +$5 | +8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? | May 11 | $72 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | May 11 | $71 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | May 11 | $72 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | May 05 | $70 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | May 01 | $72 | $0 | +0% |