Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:29:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D6 0xd621…b9ef sports 128 markets active 4d ago coverage 66d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$392 (+2%) realized +$392 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate57%73W / 55L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$187per market
Trades / day14.3pace
Fees−$391est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$8
14 days+$56
30 days−$194
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$184
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +6.7% -3.5% 50% 50% -9.8%
≤30d 56 -10.5% -19.0% 55% 55% -10.8%
≤90d 128 -10.6% -19.1% 57% 53% -10.3%
all 128 -10.6% -19.1% 57% 53% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.1% 53% -10.3%
10% -26.8% 38% -18.9%
15% -33.9% 24% -26.7%
20% -40.4% 18% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -5% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$82 vs −$112 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

66d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$392
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses73 / 55
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$391
Open positions0
Markets (closed)128 / 128
History coverage66d
Avg bet$187
Trades / day14.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 128 Trades
no open positions (45 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $576 +$431 +75%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $305 −$2 -1%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $247 +$305 +123%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $584 −$314 -54%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $414 −$410 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $487 −$222 -46%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $311 +$88 +28%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $213 −$185 -87%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $109 +$77 +70%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $340 +$224 +66%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $299 +$225 +75%
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $579 +$125 +22%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $164 +$83 +51%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $67 +$26 +40%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $214 −$214 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $256 −$252 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $151 +$29 +19%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $151 +$29 +19%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $7 −$7 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $68 +$20 +30%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner May 31 $213 +$55 +26%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner May 31 $231 −$4 -2%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner May 31 $215 +$121 +56%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner May 30 $75 +$11 +15%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner May 30 $131 −$131 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner May 30 $13 −$12 -99%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 30 $372 +$108 +29%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $496 +$277 +56%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $120 +$59 +49%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 29 $304 −$304 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 28 $114 −$70 -61%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $121 −$120 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 28 $196 −$42 -22%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 27 $364 −$138 -38%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 27 $284 +$412 +145%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner May 26 $377 +$145 +38%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 26 $165 −$106 -64%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 26 $229 +$186 +81%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $225 +$215 +96%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner May 25 $135 +$44 +32%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 24 $406 +$257 +63%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 24 $306 +$52 +17%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner May 24 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 4 Winner May 23 $140 +$41 +29%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner May 23 $250 −$165 -66%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 22 $143 +$38 +26%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 21 $307 −$300 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 21 $673 −$388 -58%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 21 $157 +$29 +18%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 20 $156 −$156 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 93¢ $139 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 93¢ $419 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 90¢ $449 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 59¢ $299 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 46¢ $234 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 43¢ $44 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 1¢ $2 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 88¢ $123 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 83¢ $83 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $17 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $8 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 74¢ $294 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 33¢ $68 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 33¢ $7 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 33¢ $0 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 33¢ $25 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $137 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 41¢ $42 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 92¢ $552 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 33¢ $67 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 45¢ $4 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 45¢ $86 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 45¢ $1 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 45¢ $82 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 45¢ $7 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 67¢ $175 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 67¢ $92 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 34¢ $104 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 52¢ $97 3d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 52¢ $7 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 980 history records