trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 20 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 10% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 18 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | Jun 12 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 01 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 27 | $208 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 16 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 05 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 18 | $105 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 12 | $105 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 05 | $106 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 31 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Mar 21 | $106 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $106 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election | Mar 16 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 13 | $106 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 12 | $106 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 10 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 03 | $106 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 01 | $106 | $0 | -0% |