Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:49:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd641…c27f
crypto · 431 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$451 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$451 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$451
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses226 / 223
Open positions0
Markets (closed)449 / 431
History coverage9d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day334.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 449 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$170
7 days−$213
14 days−$451
30 days−$451
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$14 -148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$9 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$5 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$7 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$308
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 331 -7.9% -16.7% 51% 40% -14.7%
≤30d 449 -7.1% -16.0% 50% 36% -14.5%
≤90d 449 -7.1% -16.0% 50% 36% -14.5%
all 449 -7.1% -16.0% 50% 36% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover334.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 36% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 21% -22.7%
15% -31.4% 13% -30.1%
20% -38.1% 8% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records