trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 | Under | 95¢ | 99¢ | $50 | $52 | +$2 (+4%) |
| Spread: Haiti (-1.5) | Scotland | 96¢ | 99¢ | $40 | $41 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $16 | +$7 (+71%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 62¢ | 74¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+19%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+18%) |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $4 | +$0 (+17%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $4 | $3 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-15%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 0¢ | $49 | $0 | −$49 (-100%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 | Under | 85¢ | 0¢ | $9 | $0 | −$9 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $90 | +$4 | +4% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $2 | −$1 | -30% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$11 | -53% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 | Jun 13 | $46 | +$4 | +8% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) | Jun 13 | $50 | +$10 | +20% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $50 | +$18 | +36% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $30 | +$10 | +33% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $37 | +$3 | +8% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 | Jun 13 | $99 | −$29 | -29% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $10 | +$7 | +67% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 | Jun 12 | $65 | +$10 | +16% |
| Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $100 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$3 | -62% |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $63 | +$15 | +24% |
| Spread: Czechia (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $46 | −$3 | -7% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $70 | +$30 | +44% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 | Jun 11 | $18 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 11 | $78 | +$12 | +16% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 10 | $22 | +$7 | +31% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 65% | 43% | -3.9% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 65% | 43% | -3.9% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 65% | 43% | -3.9% |
| all | 23 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 65% | 43% | -3.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.9% | 43% | -3.9% |
| 10% | -22.1% | 26% | -13.1% |
| 15% | -29.6% | 13% | -21.5% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 4% | -29.2% |