trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -25.3% | -32.5% | 67% | 67% | -38.5% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -5.2% | -14.3% | 44% | 44% | -19.6% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -5.2% | -14.3% | 44% | 44% | -19.6% |
| all | 23 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 43% | 35% | -27.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.9% | 35% | -27.8% |
| 10% | -28.5% | 26% | -34.7% |
| 15% | -35.4% | 26% | -41.0% |
| 20% | -41.7% | 26% | -46.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $400 | $403 | +$3 (+1%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | No | 82¢ | 65¢ | $100 | $80 | −$20 (-20%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 22¢ | $20 | $23 | +$3 (+17%) |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? | No | 84¢ | 59¢ | $20 | $14 | −$6 (-29%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $50 | +$6 | +12% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $79 | −$78 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $70 | +$8 | +12% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 19 | $13 | −$13 | -99% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $22 | +$23 | +101% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $26 | +$67 | +262% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs | Jun 18 | $4 | +$11 | +262% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18? | Jun 18 | $6 | −$6 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Jun 18 | $26 | −$25 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | Jun 18 | $53 | −$50 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | Jun 18 | $26 | +$24 | +93% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $44 | +$32 | +73% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $17 | −$17 | -98% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Jan 29 | $188 | −$188 | -100% |
| LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | Jan 29 | $185 | +$3 | +1% |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance | Jan 28 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | Jan 28 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Jan 28 | $60 | +$111 | +186% |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? | Jan 26 | $128 | +$8 | +7% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Jan 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |