Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:19:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D6 0xd65c…bb90 crypto 47 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (239 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$195 (-24%) realized −$195 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate66%31W / 16L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day239.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$218
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (239 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-23.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -15.2% -23.3% 66% 47% -34.5%
≤30d 47 -15.2% -23.3% 66% 47% -34.5%
≤90d 47 -15.2% -23.3% 66% 47% -34.5%
all 47 -15.2% -23.3% 66% 47% -34.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover239.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.3% 47% -34.5%
10% ← realistic here -30.6% 30% -40.7%
15% -37.3% 4% -46.5%
20% -43.4% 2% -51.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 39% · top 2 49% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -28% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -30% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$17 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.22 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$195
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses31 / 16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day239.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 47 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $66 −$65 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $127 −$120 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $40 −$39 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$3 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $144 +$24 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $85 −$28 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $23 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $65 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $28 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $20 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $29 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 239 history records