trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026? | Jun 08 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | Jun 08 | $3 | −$3 | -96% |
| Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by Jun | Jun 08 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | Jun 08 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | Jun 08 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? | Jun 03 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | Jun 03 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $5 | +$7 | +134% |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 27 | $3 | +$2 | +65% |
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2 | Jul 20 | $99 | +$31 | +32% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -66.7% | -69.9% | 17% | 17% | -90.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -66.7% | -69.9% | 17% | 17% | -90.7% |
| all | 13 | -59.2% | -63.1% | 23% | 23% | -48.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -63.1% | 23% | -48.9% |
| 10% | -66.6% | 23% | -53.8% |
| 15% | -69.8% | 15% | -58.3% |
| 20% | -72.8% | 15% | -62.4% |