Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:18:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd661…3ac0
crypto · 177 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$158 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$158 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$158
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses137 / 40
Open positions0
Markets (closed)177 / 177
History coverage1d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day239.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 177 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$158
7 days−$158
14 days−$158
30 days−$158
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$18 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$19 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$21 -78%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$2 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$57 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$11 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$10 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $76 +$9 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$44 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$24 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$17 -69%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$5 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$5 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$8 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$158
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $26 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $6 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $24 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $26 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $103 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $16 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 177 -1.9% -11.3% 77% 50% -11.6%
≤30d 177 -1.9% -11.3% 77% 50% -11.6%
≤90d 177 -1.9% -11.3% 77% 50% -11.6%
all 177 -1.9% -11.3% 77% 50% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover239.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 50% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 33% -20.1%
15% -27.5% 16% -27.8%
20% -34.6% 10% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 434 history records