Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:29:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd66c…3b08
crypto · 1842 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,290 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,290 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$1,290
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1601 / 570
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2171 / 1842
History coverage37d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day51.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 2171 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,383
7 days−$1,354
14 days−$1,341
30 days−$1,275
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 90¢ 90¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? No 99¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 87¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -2150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$5 -1290%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -1943%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$103
sports 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 817 -46.7% -51.8% 48% 21% -68.4%
≤30d 1777 -19.2% -26.9% 71% 45% -39.2%
≤90d 2171 -16.2% -24.1% 74% 47% -34.2%
all 2171 -16.2% -24.1% 74% 47% -34.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.1% 47% -34.2%
10% ← realistic here -31.4% 3% -40.5%
15% -38.0% 0% -46.2%
20% -44.1% 0% -51.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.12 · official $5.89 · 3500 history records