Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:30:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd671…487e
crypto · 94 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$124 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$114 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56
Realized+$114
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses45 / 48
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)93 / 94
History coverage226d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $54 $56 +$2 (+3%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner G2 Esports 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Team WE 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner G2 Esports 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Team WE 25¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$39 +367%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +116%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $58 −$31 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$13 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +27%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $49 −$7 -14%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $28 −$5 -18%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $75 +$10 +14%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 −$2 -18%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$15 +150%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $7 −$7 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -97%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $10 +$2 +21%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Mar 22 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 22 $20 +$28 +142%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Mar 22 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Mar 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs Mar 21 $12 −$11 -89%
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner Mar 21 $20 +$13 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Mar 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Mar 04 $5 −$4 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Mar 04 $10 +$2 +23%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Mar 02 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) Mar 02 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Mar 02 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Mar 02 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) Mar 02 $4 −$4 -100%
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition? Mar 02 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% +$60
crypto 27% +$59
other 11% −$3
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $7 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $11 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 46m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 100¢ $14 47m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 94¢ $13 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 22¢ $14 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 71¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +5.2% -4.8% 53% 38% -7.2%
≤30d 34 +5.2% -4.8% 53% 38% -7.2%
≤90d 42 -5.0% -14.0% 48% 36% -7.9%
all 93 -6.3% -15.2% 48% 42% -0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.2% 42% -0.9%
10% -23.3% 34% -10.3%
15% -30.7% 23% -19.0%
20% -37.5% 22% -26.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.74 · official $55.74 (match) · 407 history records