Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:48:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D6 0xd67a…7cda crypto 1029 markets active 0h ago coverage 10d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (114 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$845 (-1%) realized −$1,270 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate89%915W / 114L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$68per market
Trades / day113.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$641
14 days−$1,270
30 days−$1,270
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,270
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (114 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 383 -3.3% -12.5% 86% 38% -13.8%
≤30d 1029 -1.3% -10.7% 89% 37% -11.2%
≤90d 1029 -1.3% -10.7% 89% 37% -11.2%
all 1029 -1.3% -10.7% 89% 37% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover113.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 37% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 7% -19.7%
15% -27.1% 2% -27.4%
20% -34.2% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
52% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$69 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,270
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses915 / 114
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1029 / 1029
History coverage10d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day113.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1029 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2046 history records