trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 21 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 81% | 0% | -14.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.6% | 0% | -14.0% |
| 10% | -21.9% | 0% | -22.2% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 0% | -29.7% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 0% | -36.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $643 | $645 | +$2 (+0%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 25? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $66 | $66 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 25? | Mar 24 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 19 | Mar 19 | $73 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on March 18? | Mar 18 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on March 6? | Mar 07 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on March 6? | Mar 06 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 05 | $277 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 04 | $516 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | Mar 02 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28? | Mar 02 | $77 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Mar 01 | $464 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February? | Feb 28 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February | Feb 16 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 4 | Feb 16 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on February | Feb 16 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Feb 16 | $28 | $0 | +1% |
| 76ers vs. Hornets | Jan 26 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on January 20? | Jan 21 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 30? | Jan 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on January | Jan 15 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on January 10 | Jan 15 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Jan 15 | $180 | $0 | +0% |