Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:01:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd68e…8048
sports · 1457 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,121 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,066 · open −$53
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$267
Realized−$2,066
Unrealized−$53
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses997 / 454
Est. fees paid−$424
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1451 / 1457
History coverage61d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day47.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 6 History 1451 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$524
7 days−$805
14 days−$1,432
30 days−$1,576
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 94¢ $50 $94 +$44 (+88%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $48 $50 +$2 (+3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 44¢ $46 $44 −$2 (-3%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $42 $42 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Under 78¢ 94¢ $31 $37 +$6 (+20%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand New Zealand 74¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE 27¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 27¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $81 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $34 +$9 +26%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $39 +$2 +6%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $71 −$59 -84%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $31 −$10 -34%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $78 +$2 +3%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $50 −$26 -51%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $50 +$21 +41%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $23 +$8 +34%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $40 +$10 +24%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $78 −$78 -100%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $40 +$10 +26%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $35 −$34 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $28 −$27 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $61 +$27 +45%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $45 −$10 -22%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $60 +$18 +30%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $47 +$13 +27%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $38 +$9 +24%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $87 −$87 -100%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $25 +$12 +48%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $81 +$14 +18%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $72 −$3 -5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $89 +$8 +8%
FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $8 +$2 +20%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $28 −$26 -93%
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $21 −$13 -62%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $17 +$4 +26%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $125 −$3 -2%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $218 −$47 -22%
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $17 −$1 -4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $60 −$53 -89%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $219 −$7 -3%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates Jun 12 $48 +$12 +24%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $139 +$11 +8%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $71 −$38 -54%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $77 +$32 +42%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $80 +$17 +21%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $68 −$32 -47%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $62 +$6 +10%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $24 −$24 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $55 +$7 +13%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $81 +$18 +23%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $33 +$17 +52%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 10 $76 −$75 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$2,183
other 7% +$63
crypto 0% +$1
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 78¢ $31 42m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $51 42m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 82¢ $82 43m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $43 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL FURIA 100¢ $43 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 79¢ $34 2h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $34 2h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 85¢ $7 3h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 15¢ $7 3h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 24¢ $11 3h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic SELL Iva Jovic 12¢ $11 3h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 77¢ $21 3h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 50¢ $20 3h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 74¢ $79 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 80¢ $80 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 73¢ $24 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva SELL Yulia Putintseva 36¢ $24 4h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Iva Jovic 73¢ $71 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL Australia 100¢ $71 4h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $31 5h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Jesper de Jong 100¢ $31 5h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva BUY Yulia Putintseva 72¢ $50 5h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 100¢ $50 5h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY Australia 70¢ $50 7h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Emma Raducanu 100¢ $50 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 27¢ $35 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 27¢ $28 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 100¢ $62 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 39¢ $15 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 61¢ $14 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 -8.1% -16.9% 59% 51% -18.0%
≤30d 568 -1.2% -10.6% 68% 59% -14.2%
≤90d 1451 -1.4% -10.8% 69% 57% -12.5%
all 1451 -1.4% -10.8% 69% 57% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 57% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 35% -20.9%
15% -27.1% 17% -28.6%
20% -34.2% 8% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $266.94 · official $252.17 · 3500 history records