Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:07:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd692…8b9a
crypto · 210 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,126 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,103 · open −$45
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$1,103
Unrealized−$45
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses95 / 114
Est. fees paid−$124
Open positions1
Markets (closed)209 / 210
History coverage2d
Avg bet$72
Trades / day1447.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 209 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$984
7 days−$1,103
14 days−$1,103
30 days−$1,103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 21¢ 8¢ $70 $25 −$45 (-64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kosuke Ogura Kosuke Ogura 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 14¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 18¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 19¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $257 $0 −$257 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 30¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Felix Auger-Aliassime 38¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 15¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $97 +$360 +373%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$15 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$5 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$11 +83%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $72 −$15 -20%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $33 +$21 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$8 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$17 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$27 +64%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $68 −$66 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $523 −$277 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$46 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$28 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$28 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$24 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$37 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$22 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$40 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$26 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$14 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$30 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$11 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$17 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$28 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$17 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$41 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$15 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$38 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$29 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$8 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$19 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 58% +$262
sports 37% −$1,310
world 4% $0
other 1% −$100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $306 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $151 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $41 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $7 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 209 +4.8% -5.1% 45% 37% -16.8%
≤30d 209 +4.8% -5.1% 45% 37% -16.8%
≤90d 209 +4.8% -5.1% 45% 37% -16.8%
all 209 +4.8% -5.1% 45% 37% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1447.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.1% 37% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -14.2% 27% -24.7%
15% -22.5% 20% -32.0%
20% -30.1% 13% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.43 · official $25.43 (match) · 3500 history records