trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | 54¢ | 100¢ | $37,800 | $70,000 | +$32,200 (+85%) |
| UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Josh Hokit | 77¢ | 78¢ | $18,064 | $18,513 | +$449 (+2%) |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 | Under | 50¢ | 100¢ | $1,346 | $2,692 | +$1,346 (+100%) |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 | Under | 47¢ | 100¢ | $1,195 | $2,543 | +$1,348 (+113%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score | No | 69¢ | 68¢ | $1,377 | $1,341 | −$36 (-3%) |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 49¢ | 62¢ | $779 | $977 | +$199 (+26%) |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Over | 53¢ | 52¢ | $531 | $526 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | No | 67¢ | 67¢ | $508 | $508 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | $340 | $348 | +$8 (+2%) |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Under | 53¢ | 54¢ | $227 | $230 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Morocco | 43¢ | 48¢ | $162 | $181 | +$19 (+12%) |
| UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) | Bo Nickal | 74¢ | 74¢ | $96 | $95 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Iraq | 52¢ | 52¢ | $46 | $46 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: South Africa (-2.5) | Korea Republic | 92¢ | 94¢ | $24 | $25 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 47¢ | 0¢ | $4,943 | $0 | −$4,943 (-100%) |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) | Rockets | 47¢ | 0¢ | $2,918 | $0 | −$2,918 (-100%) |
| Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5 | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | $1,079 | $0 | −$1,079 (-100%) |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros | Boston Red Sox | 58¢ | 0¢ | $185 | $0 | −$185 (-100%) |
| ASB Classic: Alycia Parks vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Parks | 41¢ | 0¢ | $218 | $0 | −$218 (-100%) |
| Bucks vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 46¢ | 0¢ | $87 | $0 | −$87 (-100%) |
| Spread: Thunder (-14.5) | Thunder | 49¢ | 0¢ | $3,784 | $0 | −$3,784 (-100%) |
| Lafayette Leopards vs. Colgate Raiders | Colgate Raiders | 81¢ | 0¢ | $163 | $0 | −$163 (-100%) |
| Spread: Bucks (-1.5) | Bucks | 50¢ | 0¢ | $1,388 | $0 | −$1,388 (-100%) |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $385 | $0 | −$385 (-100%) |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5 | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $94 | $0 | −$94 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) | Jun 12 | $2,918 | −$2,918 | -100% |
| Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5 | Jun 12 | $1,079 | −$1,079 | -100% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros | Jun 12 | $185 | −$185 | -100% |
| ASB Classic: Alycia Parks vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Jun 12 | $218 | −$218 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Mavericks | Jun 12 | $87 | −$87 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-14.5) | Jun 12 | $3,784 | −$3,784 | -100% |
| Lafayette Leopards vs. Colgate Raiders | Jun 12 | $163 | −$163 | -100% |
| Spread: Bucks (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $1,388 | −$1,388 | -100% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5 | Jun 12 | $94 | −$94 | -100% |
| AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Lehigh Valley Phantoms | Jun 12 | $148 | −$148 | -100% |
| Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-4.5) | Jun 12 | $1,923 | −$1,923 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5 | Jun 12 | $328 | −$328 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers | Jun 12 | $6,561 | −$6,561 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Knicks | Jun 12 | $159 | −$159 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Jets | Jun 12 | $1,200 | −$1,200 | -100% |
| Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5) | Jun 12 | $9,504 | −$9,504 | -100% |
| Spread: Senators (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $5,460 | −$5,460 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Mavericks | Jun 12 | $2,412 | −$2,412 | -100% |
| Avalanche vs. Jets | Jun 12 | $5,794 | −$5,794 | -100% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | Jun 12 | $816 | −$816 | -100% |
| Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Janice Tjen | Jun 12 | $2,963 | −$2,963 | -100% |
| Vikings vs. Cowboys | Jun 12 | $5,191 | −$5,191 | -100% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 12.5 | Jun 12 | $983 | −$983 | -100% |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $1,334 | −$1,334 | -100% |
| Islanders vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | Jun 12 | $597 | −$597 | -100% |
| Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $1,073 | −$1,073 | -100% |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Siena Saints | Jun 12 | $560 | −$560 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Spurs | Jun 12 | $2,783 | −$2,783 | -100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) | Jun 12 | $987 | −$987 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Magic | Jun 12 | $347 | −$347 | -100% |
| Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 | Jun 12 | $9,870 | −$9,870 | -100% |
| Spread: North Texas (-6.5) | Jun 12 | $455 | −$455 | -100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Stars | Jun 12 | $727 | −$727 | -100% |
| Spread: Bulls (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $264 | −$264 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Pacers | Jun 12 | $350 | −$350 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Bucks | Jun 12 | $194 | −$194 | -100% |
| Flames vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5 | Jun 12 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5 | Jun 12 | $1,908 | −$1,908 | -100% |
| Spread: Idaho Vandals (-3.5) | Jun 12 | $774 | −$774 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | Jun 12 | $2,685 | −$2,685 | -100% |
| Predators vs. Blues | Jun 12 | $79 | −$79 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Wild | Jun 12 | $18,810 | −$18,810 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5 | Jun 12 | $108 | −$108 | -100% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5 | Jun 12 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | Jun 12 | $22,002 | −$22,002 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Hornets | Jun 12 | $3,080 | −$3,080 | -100% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 12 | $130 | −$130 | -100% |
| Real Salt Lake vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5 | Jun 12 | $1,955 | −$1,955 | -100% |
| Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5 | Jun 12 | $508 | −$508 | -100% |
| Steelers vs. Lions | Jun 12 | $8,126 | −$8,126 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 79¢ | $2,400 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 77¢ | $3 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 77¢ | $380 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 77¢ | $1,674 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 77¢ | $222 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 77¢ | $161 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 77¢ | $328 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 77¢ | $33 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 77¢ | $100 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 77¢ | $335 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 77¢ | $84 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 77¢ | $15 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 77¢ | $179 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 77¢ | $335 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 76¢ | $21 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 76¢ | $53 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 76¢ | $3 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 76¢ | $38 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 76¢ | $32 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 76¢ | $317 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 76¢ | $380 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 76¢ | $7,246 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 76¢ | $39 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 76¢ | $73 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 65¢ | $1,344 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 65¢ | $11 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 65¢ | $5 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 65¢ | $35 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 65¢ | $130 | 37h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 65¢ | $93 | 37h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 493 | -86.0% | -87.3% | 8% | 7% | -56.7% |
| ≤30d | 628 | -59.1% | -63.0% | 21% | 21% | -43.0% |
| ≤90d | 713 | -53.9% | -58.3% | 24% | 24% | -43.6% |
| all | 713 | -53.9% | -58.3% | 24% | 24% | -43.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -58.3% | 24% | -43.6% |
| 10% | -62.3% | 23% | -49.0% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -65.9% | 21% | -53.9% |
| 20% | -69.3% | 20% | -58.4% |