Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:25:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D6 0xd6aa…5613 crypto 505 markets active 5d ago coverage 10d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (142 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$24 (+1%) realized +$24 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate58%294W / 211L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day142.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$32
14 days−$61
30 days−$81
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$81
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (142 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 119 -9.4% -18.0% 59% 50% -14.6%
≤30d 505 -5.6% -14.6% 58% 50% -12.5%
≤90d 505 -5.6% -14.6% 58% 50% -12.5%
all 505 -5.6% -14.6% 58% 50% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover142.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 50% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 37% -20.9%
15% -30.2% 24% -28.5%
20% -37.1% 14% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.6 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses294 / 211
Open positions0
Markets (closed)505 / 505
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day142.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 505 Trades
no open positions (118 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$6 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $13 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $18 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1456 history records