Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:23:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D6 0xd6b1…c692 crypto 707 markets active 1h ago coverage 54d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 53d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$73 (+1%) realized +$73 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate69%491W / 216L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day29.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$10
14 days−$36
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -2.6% -11.9% 54% 0% -11.4%
≤30d 395 -2.8% -12.0% 63% 0% -11.5%
≤90d 707 -2.0% -11.3% 69% 2% -10.4%
all 707 -2.0% -11.3% 69% 2% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover29.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 2% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 0% -19.0%
15% -27.6% 0% -26.8%
20% -34.7% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

54d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$73
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses491 / 216
Open positions0
Markets (closed)707 / 707
History coverage54d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day29.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 707 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $14 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $5 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records