trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +8.7% | -1.6% | 67% | 33% | -7.7% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +1.7% | -7.9% | 29% | 7% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +1.7% | -7.9% | 29% | 7% | -9.2% |
| all | 22 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 45% | 5% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.2% | 5% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -17.0% | 5% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -25.0% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -32.4% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 82¢ | $43 | $44 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $43 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $5 | +$1 | +25% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $113 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 06 | $77 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 06 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 05 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 04 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 27 | $35 | $0 | -1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 27 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 27 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 25 | $28 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 27 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 25 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 by March? | Mar 30 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| US lifts Russia sanctions before April? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30? | Mar 27 | $13 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Mar 28? | Mar 27 | $13 | $0 | +2% |