Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:05:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd6bf…b60d
crypto · 31 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses20 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)31 / 31
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day73.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$17
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$10 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$6 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$6 +552%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $25 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $6 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $13 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $7 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $6 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $12 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +4.4% -5.5% 65% 58% -14.1%
≤30d 31 +4.4% -5.5% 65% 58% -14.1%
≤90d 31 +4.4% -5.5% 65% 58% -14.1%
all 31 +4.4% -5.5% 65% 58% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 58% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 29% -22.3%
15% -22.8% 16% -29.8%
20% -30.4% 13% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 99 history records