trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -7.1% | -15.9% | 33% | 33% | -13.4% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -25.0% | -32.2% | 17% | 17% | -28.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -12.7% | -21.1% | 25% | 25% | +11.0% |
| all | 9 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 33% | 22% | -5.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.7% | 22% | -5.1% |
| 10% | -27.4% | 22% | -14.2% |
| 15% | -34.4% | 22% | -22.5% |
| 20% | -40.8% | 22% | -30.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $26 | +$25 | +95% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Jun 12 | $17 | −$17 | -99% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $86 | −$14 | -16% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 08 | $53 | −$7 | -13% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 08 | $37 | −$6 | -16% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 04 | $35 | −$35 | -99% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | May 18 | $482 | +$242 | +50% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | May 13 | $90 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | Aug 11 | $3,618 | +$29 | +1% |