Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd6f5…f3b5
sports · 304 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$226,012 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$225,199 · open −$813
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15,866
Realized−$225,199
Unrealized−$813
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses171 / 139
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$14,247
Open positions4
Markets (closed)310 / 304
History coverage49d
Avg bet$3,952
Trades / day67.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 310 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36,886
7 days−$38,077
14 days−$66,109
30 days−$149,812
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 70¢ 88¢ $7,000 $8,850 +$1,850 (+26%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 55¢ 46¢ $4,270 $3,533 −$738 (-17%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 55¢ 38¢ $5,109 $3,483 −$1,625 (-32%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 45¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming Youth Team 61¢ 0¢ $649 $0 −$649 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Spurs 82¢ 0¢ $1,609 $0 −$1,609 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Shifters 17¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Team Falcons 56¢ 0¢ $5,580 $0 −$5,580 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 53¢ 0¢ $3,239 $0 −$3,239 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Aurora 47¢ 0¢ $5,100 $0 −$5,100 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 68¢ 0¢ $5,808 $0 −$5,808 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOUD 45¢ 0¢ $4,500 $0 −$4,500 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 65¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 34¢ 0¢ $2,461 $0 −$2,461 (-100%)
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner Heroic 53¢ 0¢ $3,124 $0 −$3,124 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 40¢ 0¢ $8,207 $0 −$8,207 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 81¢ 0¢ $1,596 $0 −$1,596 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 58¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 58¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 44¢ 0¢ $1,807 $0 −$1,807 (-100%)
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs ex-HEROIC (+1.5) ex-HEROIC 26¢ 0¢ $357 $0 −$357 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Sentinels 44¢ 0¢ $2,100 $0 −$2,100 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 49¢ 0¢ $4,404 $0 −$4,404 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 48¢ 0¢ $5,753 $0 −$5,753 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,580 −$5,580 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,124 −$3,124 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,614 −$5,614 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,590 −$5,590 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,050 −$4,050 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $6,745 −$6,745 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $8,008 −$8,008 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6,094 −$6,094 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $592 −$592 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,678 −$4,678 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,728 +$4,444 +163%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $6,179 +$5,951 +96%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5,695 −$4,404 -77%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,218 −$2,461 -58%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,706 +$3,849 +104%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $42 +$4 +9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,334 +$3,159 +95%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $29 +$21 +72%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $5,849 +$1,153 +20%
ITF Maanshan: Dong Ju Kim vs Matthew Dellavedova Jun 12 $105 +$2 +2%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $3,306 −$3,285 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,726 +$1,574 +58%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,695 +$2,200 +82%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,704 −$1,362 -37%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,387 +$1,398 +59%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,932 +$712 +37%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,100 −$1,100 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,060 +$938 +88%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $670 +$329 +49%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $318 +$29 +9%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,908 −$1,908 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5,729 +$171 +3%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Shinji Hazawa Jun 11 $2,447 +$82 +3%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Ekaterina Maklakova Jun 11 $1,907 +$793 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $75 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $75 +$4 +6%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5,138 −$310 -6%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 11 $1,300 +$1,200 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $207 +$212 +102%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $649 −$649 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $586 +$223 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $206 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $52 −$50 -96%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $746 +$31 +4%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $4,236 +$177 +4%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 10 $4 +$1 +32%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $4,037 +$124 +3%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $2,117 +$1,901 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$176,204
crypto 0% +$268
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $41 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $68 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $28 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $10 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $472 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $50 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $3 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $176 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $3 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $244 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $83 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $28 8m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $18 8m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $727 8m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $15 8m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $12 8m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $117 8m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $12 8m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $50 8m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $24 8m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $31 8m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $1 9m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $47 9m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $12 9m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $6 9m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $103 9m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $162 9m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $19 9m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $1 9m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $6 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -11.6% -20.0% 57% 40% -30.0%
≤30d 279 -9.7% -18.3% 57% 44% -24.9%
≤90d 310 -11.6% -20.0% 55% 43% -27.8%
all 310 -11.6% -20.0% 55% 43% -27.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 43% -27.8%
10% -27.7% 39% -34.7%
15% ← realistic here -34.7% 34% -41.0%
20% -41.1% 25% -46.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15,866.15 · official $15,866.15 (match) · 3500 history records