Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:31:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd6f6…be31
crypto · 15 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$1 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses15 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)15 / 15
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$1
other 7% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +1.3% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤30d 15 +1.3% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤90d 15 +1.3% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.3%
all 15 +1.3% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 0% -8.3%
10% -17.1% 0% -17.1%
15% -25.1% 0% -25.1%
20% -32.4% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 30 history records