Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:02:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd6f8…361c
crypto · 38 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$17 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses22 / 16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage18d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day57.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$102
7 days−$121
14 days+$3
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$21 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$11 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $223 −$184 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $95 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $108 +$19 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $122 +$18 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$7 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$24 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 08 $30 −$19 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 01 $125 −$38 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 01 $13 +$10 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 01 $68 +$19 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 01 $114 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 01 $71 +$72 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 01 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 01 $23 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 01 $33 +$38 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 01 $8 +$28 +347%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 01 $32 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET May 28 $13 +$10 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET May 28 $15 −$8 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET May 28 $50 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET May 28 $10 +$7 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET May 28 $13 +$12 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET May 28 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET May 25 $5 +$5 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET May 25 $73 −$47 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET May 25 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET May 25 $12 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET May 25 $9 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET May 25 $11 +$5 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -1.0% -10.4% 60% 40% -20.4%
≤30d 38 +17.8% +6.6% 58% 45% -9.8%
≤90d 38 +17.8% +6.6% 58% 45% -9.8%
all 38 +17.8% +6.6% 58% 45% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.6% 45% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -3.6% 32% -18.4%
15% -12.9% 29% -26.3%
20% -21.5% 24% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1068 history records