Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:17:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D7 0xd703…d3e2 crypto 377 markets active 13h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (131 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$111 (-2%) realized −$111 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR66%break-even
Win rate72%270W / 107L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day130.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$169
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (131 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 377 -5.7% -14.7% 72% 66% -12.5%
≤30d 377 -5.7% -14.7% 72% 66% -12.5%
≤90d 377 -5.7% -14.7% 72% 66% -12.5%
all 377 -5.7% -14.7% 72% 66% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover130.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 66% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 56% -20.9%
15% -30.3% 20% -28.5%
20% -37.1% 6% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$12 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$111
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses270 / 107
Open positions0
Markets (closed)377 / 377
History coverage3d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day130.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 377 Trades
no open positions (97 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 19 $31 +$72 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$9 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 19 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$7 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 19 $11 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 19 $16 +$13 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$8 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$7 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $15 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $15 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $15 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $15 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $15 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $15 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $15 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $15 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $11 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $15 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $15 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $15 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $15 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $15 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $15 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 737 history records