Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:26:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd70b…b121
finance · 69 markets active 6h ago
0.0score
−$30 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open −$40
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP finance specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$1
Unrealized−$40
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses38 / 21
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions10
Markets (closed)59 / 69
History coverage88d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 10 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes 21¢ 7¢ $17 $6 −$11 (-66%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes 8¢ 2¢ $17 $5 −$12 (-69%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes 20¢ 4¢ $23 $5 −$18 (-79%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes 35¢ 48¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+40%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes 54¢ 76¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+40%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes 15¢ 9¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-40%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes 26¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-37%)
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid Real Madrid 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June? No 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? No 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Paris Basketball Paris Basketball 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? No 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Barcelona vs. Panathinaikos Barcelona 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas Zalgiris Kaunas 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? May 27 $16 −$16 -96%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? May 27 $14 −$14 -96%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? May 20 $5 −$1 -24%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? May 20 $9 −$4 -43%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June? May 19 $2 −$2 -98%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? May 19 $15 +$3 +22%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? May 15 $1 $0 +48%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? May 12 $4 +$2 +47%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? May 11 $1 $0 +26%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? May 11 $2 $0 +18%
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce May 08 $1 +$1 +69%
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce May 07 $1 +$1 +83%
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas Apr 30 $1 −$1 -98%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? Apr 30 $3 −$3 -98%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? Apr 30 $8 +$1 +18%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? Apr 29 $2 +$1 +56%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? Apr 29 $5 +$9 +186%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? Apr 14 $6 +$1 +18%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Apr 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? Apr 12 $4 $0 +4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? Apr 12 $16 +$3 +19%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? Apr 12 $3 $0 +16%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? Apr 12 $2 $0 +20%
Partizan vs. Zalgiris Kaunas Apr 10 $5 +$2 +34%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Apr 09 $11 −$3 -26%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April? Apr 08 $5 −$1 -11%
BC Dubai vs. Monaco Apr 07 $1 −$1 -100%
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Olympiacos B.C. Apr 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Valencia vs. Olimpia Milano Apr 07 $1 +$1 +64%
Virtus Bologna vs. FC Bayern Munchen Apr 07 $1 +$1 +64%
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Dubai Apr 07 $2 $0 +22%
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid Apr 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Barcelona vs. Panathinaikos Apr 06 $2 −$2 -98%
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Paris Basketball Apr 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Saski Baskonia vs. Real Madrid Apr 03 $1 +$1 +74%
Virtus Bologna vs. Valencia Apr 03 $1 $0 +32%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Apr 02 $5 +$1 +22%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Apr 02 $9 −$1 -11%
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Barcelona Apr 02 $3 +$2 +65%
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Partizan Apr 02 $1 +$2 +198%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? Apr 02 $1 $0 +36%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Fenerbahce Apr 01 $1 +$1 +120%
Virtus Bologna vs. Paris Basketball Apr 01 $1 +$1 +111%
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas Mar 27 $5 +$7 +130%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? Mar 27 $20 −$3 -16%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? Mar 27 $45 −$4 -8%
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Fenerbahce Mar 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Monaco vs. Olimpia Milano Mar 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv Mar 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June? Mar 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 87% −$63
sports 13% +$22
crypto 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 6h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 3d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 3d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 3d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 3d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 3d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? SELL Yes 34¢ $11 9d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 9d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 9d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? SELL Yes 41¢ $1 9d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 9d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 9d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 9d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 9d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 9d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 9d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 9d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 9d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 9d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 10d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 10d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? SELL Yes 38¢ $6 10d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? SELL No 39¢ $4 10d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 10d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 10d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 10d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 11d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 11d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 11d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? BUY Yes 40¢ $1 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+1.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 7 -5.6% -14.6% 29% 29% -77.3%
≤90d 59 +11.7% +1.0% 64% 61% -7.7%
all 59 +11.7% +1.0% 64% 61% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.0% 61% -7.7%
10% -8.6% 44% -16.5%
15% -17.5% 36% -24.6%
20% -25.6% 27% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.33 · official $27.33 (match) · 388 history records