trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +2.4% | -7.4% | 100% | 0% | -7.4% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 56% | 0% | -8.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 46% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 27 | -6.8% | -15.7% | 37% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.7% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -23.7% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -31.1% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -37.8% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 26 | $34 | −$1 | -3% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $31 | +$3 | +10% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 26 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 25 | $23 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 25 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 24 | $20 | +$1 | +7% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 24 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 23 | $30 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 23 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 22 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | Mar 31 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 28 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Tim Stokely buy TikTok before July? | May 25 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | May 23 | $6 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 09 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 08 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | May 08 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 08 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | May 07 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days? | May 06 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | Apr 08 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 55°F or higher on March 18? | Mar 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 20 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 14-21? | Mar 15 | $11 | $0 | -2% |