Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:15:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd719…e955
sports · 1689 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$230 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$709 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$207
Realized−$709
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses875 / 806
Est. fees paid−$388
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1681 / 1689
History coverage109d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day26.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 8 History 1681 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$7
14 days−$32
30 days−$399
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 51¢ 77¢ $24 $36 +$12 (+51%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $28 $28 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs LYON 53¢ 54¢ $24 $24 +$0 (+1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit 80¢ 78¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 82¢ 81¢ $24 $24 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 49¢ 48¢ $24 $24 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Mauricio Ruffy 83¢ 80¢ $24 $23 −$1 (-3%)
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) Diego Lopes 58¢ 56¢ $24 $23 −$1 (-4%)
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Alexander Bublik 30¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $24 −$10 -41%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $24 +$11 +44%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $24 −$13 -56%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $24 +$20 +83%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $18 −$9 -49%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $24 −$14 -59%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $24 +$5 +20%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $24 +$5 +21%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $24 +$8 +34%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $24 −$21 -86%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 13 $25 −$14 -56%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $23 +$13 +57%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $24 −$9 -38%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $24 +$14 +60%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $24 −$9 -38%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $25 −$10 -40%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $23 +$7 +31%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $24 −$10 -41%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $23 +$6 +24%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $23 +$6 +27%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $24 −$14 -59%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $23 +$9 +40%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $49 −$23 -46%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $23 +$7 +29%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $23 −$11 -48%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $25 −$24 -98%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $23 +$5 +22%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $23 −$13 -54%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $23 −$10 -43%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $25 −$10 -38%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $23 +$25 +105%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $25 +$21 +82%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $23 −$13 -56%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $25 +$5 +18%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $24 −$10 -43%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $25 +$30 +119%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $26 −$12 -47%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $25 +$10 +41%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $81 +$40 +50%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $47 +$14 +30%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $23 −$5 -23%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $23 +$19 +83%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $12 −$5 -38%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $70 −$15 -22%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $23 +$4 +18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $28 +$12 +43%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $23 −$9 -38%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $12 +$3 +26%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $12 −$5 -44%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $12 +$11 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% −$454
other 14% −$149
world 3% −$59
crypto 1% −$25
weather 1% −$5
politics 1% +$11
finance 0% $0
tech 0% −$26
economics 0% +$10
culture 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 51¢ $24 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 40¢ $14 1h
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY LYON 53¢ $24 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 49¢ $24 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $35 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 82¢ $24 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $24 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 32¢ $11 5h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 66¢ $24 6h
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car BUY Diego Lopes 58¢ $24 6h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 54¢ $24 10h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 34¢ $9 11h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 21¢ $10 11h
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai BUY Mauricio Ruffy 83¢ $24 12h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 83¢ $24 12h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 7¢ $3 16h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 70¢ $24 16h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Cloud9 14¢ $11 16h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 30¢ $25 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 26¢ $15 17h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 82¢ $24 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 40¢ $24 17h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL New Zealand 51¢ $15 17h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 74¢ $24 18h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL Minnesota Twins 17¢ $15 18h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 49¢ $24 18h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 27¢ $25 18h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 31¢ $14 18h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 51¢ $24 18h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 81¢ $24 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -0.4% -9.9% 49% 47% -9.3%
≤30d 445 -1.8% -11.1% 47% 45% -13.8%
≤90d 1220 -0.3% -9.8% 50% 47% -11.4%
all 1681 -1.8% -11.1% 52% 47% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 47% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 34% -20.2%
15% -27.4% 21% -27.9%
20% -34.5% 14% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $206.81 · official $206.81 (match) · 3500 history records