Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:47:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd720…ba3e
crypto · 719 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,054 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,102 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,102
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses201 / 518
Open positions0
Markets (closed)719 / 719
History coverage52d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day25.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 719 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,115
7 days−$1,310
14 days−$1,580
30 days−$1,580
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $102 −$97 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $187 −$175 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $79 −$11 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $63 −$25 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $47 +$35 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$90 +341%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$116 +365%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$31 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$23 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $53 +$23 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$42 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$103 +325%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$73 +277%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$35 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$63 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $107 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $117 −$110 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$63 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$29 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$35 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$25 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$2,973
world 1% −$129
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $26 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -32.3% -38.8% 23% 22% -44.6%
≤30d 413 -9.1% -17.7% 22% 21% -21.3%
≤90d 719 -8.1% -16.9% 28% 28% -20.7%
all 719 -8.1% -16.9% 28% 28% -20.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 28% -20.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 27% -28.2%
15% -32.1% 26% -35.2%
20% -38.7% 25% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1616 history records