trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -27.8% | -34.7% | 56% | 52% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -27.8% | -34.7% | 56% | 52% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -27.8% | -34.7% | 56% | 52% | -9.0% |
| all | 25 | -27.8% | -34.7% | 56% | 52% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.7% | 52% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -40.9% | 32% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -46.6% | 20% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -51.9% | 4% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 87¢ | 86¢ | $70 | $70 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 0.5 | Over | 87¢ | 86¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5 | Over | 85¢ | 84¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 0.5 | Over | 90¢ | 90¢ | $27 | $27 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 7¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-27%) |
| Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 8¢ | 4¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-43%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5 | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $81 | +$9 | +11% |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 | Jun 20 | $20 | +$4 | +22% |
| United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5 | Jun 20 | $38 | +$6 | +16% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 0.5 | Jun 19 | $40 | +$11 | +28% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 0.5 | Jun 19 | $18 | +$2 | +9% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $15 | +$4 | +28% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $5 | +$3 | +56% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 0.5 | Jun 18 | $20 | +$5 | +24% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 0.5 | Jun 18 | $30 | +$5 | +16% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $100 | +$39 | +39% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $112 | −$112 | -100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $61 | +$23 | +37% |
| Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $91 | +$42 | +47% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$4 | +21% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $61 | +$30 | +49% |