Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:19:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd730…57e2
crypto · 159 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$148 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$148 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$148
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses128 / 31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)159 / 159
History coverage50d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day69.1
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 159 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$217
7 days+$94
14 days+$198
30 days+$165
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$14 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $69 −$25 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $149 −$100 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $209 −$151 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $23 +$10 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $113 +$15 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $33 +$6 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 11 $37 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Jun 11 $112 +$52 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $27 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $134 +$14 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 10 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Jun 10 $16 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $66 −$19 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $37 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $63 +$23 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET Jun 10 $42 +$12 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET Jun 10 $51 +$16 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 09 $24 +$9 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$148
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $9 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $7 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 +10.6% +0.1% 80% 61% -1.3%
≤30d 120 +11.3% +0.7% 81% 62% -1.7%
≤90d 159 +11.9% +1.2% 81% 62% -3.2%
all 159 +11.9% +1.2% 81% 62% -3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.2% 62% -3.2%
10% ← realistic here -8.5% 35% -12.5%
15% -17.3% 18% -21.0%
20% -25.4% 3% -28.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records