Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:10:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd73d…79d7
crypto · 843 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$74 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$74 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses819 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)843 / 843
History coverage100d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 843 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$11
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$69
other 9% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 376 +0.6% -9.0% 99% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 823 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 1% -9.7%
≤90d 841 -0.3% -9.8% 97% 2% -11.1%
all 843 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 2% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 2% -11.0%
10% -18.3% 1% -19.6%
15% -26.2% 1% -27.3%
20% -33.5% 1% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1668 history records